Friday, April 13, 2012

beta, briefly

Beta is calculated using regression analysis, and you can think of beta as the tendency of a security's percentage Returns (not the continuously compounded return) to respond to swings in the market (represented by a benchmark). A beta of 1 indicates that the security's price will move at the same magnitude with the market. A beta of less than 1 means that the security will be less volatile than the market. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market. For example, if a stock's beta is 1.2, it's theoretically 20% more volatile than the market.

For example, many utilities stocks have a beta of less than 1. Conversely, most high-tech stocks have a beta of greater than 1, offering the possibility of a higher rate of return, but also posing more risk.

Zero beta means 0 correlation with the index (i.e. the market), i.e. independent, insulated.

Negative beta means anti-correlation, or bucking the market.

If the market is always up 10% and a stock is always up 20%, the correlation is one (correlation measures direction, not magnitude). However, beta takes into account both direction and magnitude, so in the same example the beta would be 2 (the stock is up twice as much as the market).

I feel Beta is more important to the buy-side than the sell-side. Note many sell-side megabanks have buy-side units too.

Beside the standard beta on Return, there's also what I call "vol-space" beta -- where a beta of 1 means IBM realized vol over the past 2 years has identical magnitude of ups and downs as s&p (the benchmark) realized vol. This vol-space beta is calculated using 2 years of historical volatility numbers.

No comments:

Total Pageviews

my favorite topics (labels)

_fuxi (302) _misLabel (13) _orig? (3) _rm (2) _vague (2) clarified (58) cpp (39) cpp_const (22) cpp_real (76) cpp/java/c# (101) cppBig4 (54) cppSmartPtr (35) cppSTL (33) cppSTL_itr (27) cppSTL_real (26) cppTemplate (28) creditMkt (14) db (65) db_sybase (43) deepUnder (31) dotnet (20) ECN (27) econ/bank` (36) fin/sys_misc (43) finGreek (34) finReal (45) finRisk (30) finTechDesign (46) finTechMisc (32) finVol (66) FixedIncom (28) fMath (7) fMathOption (33) fMathStoch (67) forex (39) gr8IV_Q (46) GTD_skill (15) GUI_event (30) inMemDB (42) intuit_math (41) intuitFinance (57) javaMisc (68) javaServerSide (13) lambda/delegate (22) marketData (28) math (10) mathStat (55) memIssue (8) memMgmt (66) metaProgram` (6) OO_Design (84) original_content (749) polymorphic/vptr (40) productive (21) ptr/ref (48) py (28) reflect (8) script`/unix (82) socket/stream (39) subquery/join (30) subvert (13) swing/wpf (9) sysProgram` (16) thread (164) thread_CAS (15) thread_cpp (28) Thread* (22) timeSaver (80) transactional (23) tune (24) tuneDB (40) tuneLatency (30) z_ajax (9) z_algoDataStruct (41) z_arch (26) z_arch_job (27) z_automateTest (17) z_autoTrad` (19) z_bestPractice (39) z_bold (83) z_bondMath (35) z_book (18) z_boost (19) z_byRef^Val (32) z_c#GUI (43) z_c#misc (80) z_cast/convert (28) z_container (67) z_cStr/arr (39) z_Favorite* (8) z_FIX (15) z_forex (48) z_fwd_Deal (18) z_gz=job (33) z_gzBig20 (13) z_gzMgr (13) z_gzPain (20) z_gzThreat (19) z_hib (19) z_IDE (52) z_ikm (5) z_IR_misc (36) z_IRS (26) z_javaWeb (28) z_jdbc (10) z_jobFinTech (46) z_jobHunt (20) z_jobRealXp (10) z_jobStrength (15) z_jobUS^asia (27) z_letter (42) z_linq (10) z_memberHid` (11) z_MOM (54) z_nestedClass (5) z_oq (24) z_PCP (12) z_pearl (1) z_php (20) z_prodSupport (7) z_py (31) z_quant (14) z_regex (8) z_rv (38) z_skillist (48) z_slic`Problem (6) z_SOA (14) z_spring (25) z_src_code (8) z_swingMisc (50) z_swingTable (26) z_unpublish (2) z_VBA/Excel (8) z_windoz (17) z_wpfCommand (9)

About Me

New York (Time Square), NY, United States
http://www.linkedin.com/in/tanbin