Thursday, June 2, 2011

technologies relevant in 2050 (in my 70's), inspired by architect story

Watching an in-depth documentary about an architect (I.M.Pei) in his 80's, I started thinking (again) about what app dev technologies/experiences would be relevant when I turn 80. I think there will be more "winning" software tools (software are tools) adopted, each dominating a specific domain displacing old guards. But what about mainstream technologies? What are truly resilient in the face of destructive sea changes.

#1) C
* c++? less resilient than C, but since C++ compiler is usable by c developers, c++ features would be usable if not always relevant.
* SQL and stored procedure coding
* sql and unix tuning
* [L] multi-threading? All the basic low-level constructs are decades old, but not the high-level constructs
* [L] memory management -- pointers, allocation/deallocations, definitely relevant to ultra high volume, low latency apps(?) More generally, In "demanding contexts" (Scott Meyers) I feel mem mgmt will remain extremely relevant, perhaps beneath the surface* [L] socket, tcp / ip
* [L] classic data structures and (only) those algo on them. STL was the pioneer.

* GUI? Requirement will stay but the constructs and the programming language/technique may change completely. GUI threading design seems to be consistent throughout.
* MOM architecture? probably yes but implementation may change so completely that your knowledge is utterly irrelevant. IBM MQ and RV are long-standing, largely due to the relevance of C.
* unix/linux?

# eor
* RPC, web service, corba, RMI... Resilient model, but not implementations
* [L] system calls? Actively used by few coders but relevant underneath the surface
* batch jobs? Requirement yes; implementation no.

[L=Low Level, closer to the metal, rather than application level]

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New York (Time Square), NY, United States
http://www.linkedin.com/in/tanbin